Lok Sabha Elections As soon as the seventh phase of voting ended, the exit polls have come out. In all the exit polls that have come out so far, NDA seems to be getting a huge majority. At the same time, all the claims of the INDIA alliance seem to be proving hollow. Now the question arises that despite all the efforts and the strength of the leaders, where did the INDIA alliance remain weak? Also, understand in which states the efforts of the Congress and its allies fell short?
What does ABP C-Voter exit poll say?
ABP C-Voter’s exit poll has claimed that BJP and its allies will get absolute majority. In this, NDA has been shown getting 375 to 395 seats. At the same time, it has been claimed that the INDIA alliance will get 150 to 165 seats.
How was the performance of INDIA alliance in vote share?
If we believe the exit polls, the performance of the INDIA alliance has not been strong. The public has once again not shown trust in the Congress and its allies. Talking about the vote share, the vote percentage of the Congress and its allies in the country’s largest political state, Uttar Pradesh, has been estimated to be 36.9 percent. This means that the INDIA alliance has completely failed to win the hearts of the people in UP. After this, if we look at Bihar, the Congress alliance has not been able to capitalize on the issue of Nitish Kumar’s U-turn. Here too, the vote share of the Congress is estimated to be 38.6 percent. Apart from this, the Congress alliance is expected to get 3.3 percent vote share in Andhra Pradesh, 13.2 percent vote share in West Bengal. It is worth noting that the vote share of the Congress has also been claimed to increase in some states. These include Maharashtra (44%), Goa (46.1%), Haryana (45%), Jammu and Kashmir (32.8%) and Punjab (32.7%) etc.
Where was the Congress alliance weak in terms of seats?
In some states, the vote share of Congress seems to be increasing, but in terms of seats, the INDIA alliance does not seem to be getting much benefit. In Uttar Pradesh, Congress and its allies won 15 seats during 2019, which is seen reaching 17 seats in the 2024 exit poll. In Bihar, the INDIA alliance seems to be limited to five seats. In PM Modi’s stronghold Gujarat, the performance of the INDIA alliance is also considered disappointing. The alliance seems to be getting only one seat here. In Madhya Pradesh, the Congress and its allies are seen getting only 3 seats.
What could be the situation in North East?
The condition of INDIA alliance is not looking very good in the northeastern states of Assam, Arunachal Pradesh, Manipur, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Mizoram, Tripura and Sikkim. UPA is getting 4 seats in Assam, 1 seat in Manipur, 1 seat in Meghalaya and 1 seat in Nagaland. On the other hand, INDIA alliance does not seem to open its account in Arunachal Pradesh, Mizoram, Sikkim and Tripura.
This is how the India alliance was in the South
Talking about the states of South India, the performance of the INDIA alliance in Andhra Pradesh has been disappointing. It has been claimed that they will not open their account here. However, 39 seats in Tamil Nadu, 19 seats in Kerala, 9 seats in Telangana and 5 seats in Karnataka seem to be going in the bag of the INDIA alliance.
How was the situation in Western India?
Talking about West India, it has been claimed that the Congress alliance will win 25 seats in Maharashtra. At the same time, the INDIA alliance can win one seat each in Goa and Gujarat, while the alliance’s bag may remain empty in Dadra Nagar Haveli and Daman Diu.
Only this much power was seen in eastern India
The position of the Congress alliance does not seem to be strong in the states of eastern India either. The alliance seems to get 3 seats in West Bengal, 2 seats in Odisha, 5 seats in Bihar and 3 seats in Jharkhand.
Bad situation in North India too
Talking about North India, the Congress alliance seems to be getting 2 seats in Jammu and Kashmir, 8 in Punjab, 6 in Haryana, 4 in Rajasthan and 17 seats in Uttar Pradesh. The important thing is that despite having a government in Himachal Pradesh, Congress seems to be getting only one seat.
(ABP C Voter Exit Poll Survey has been conducted between 19 April to 1 June 2024. Its sample size is 4 lakh 31 thousand 182 and this survey was conducted on all 543 Lok Sabha seats, including 4129 assembly seats. The margin of error of ABP C Voter Survey is + and -3 percent at the state level and + and -5 percent at the regional level.)
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