maharashtra assembly elections Yashwant Deshmukh, founder of C Voter, has given shocking figures regarding this. He has given almost equal vote share figures for the Bharatiya Janata Party led NDA or Mahayuti alliance and the Mahavikas Aghadi alliance. At the same time, there is a difference of only 8 seats, while close fight has been reported on 61 seats, on which the results of Maharashtra elections will largely depend.
Yashwant Deshmukh says that the vote share of the NDA alliance in the state can be 41 percent, while the vote share of the opposition alliance INDIA has been given as 40 percent and for others, the figure of 19 percent vote share has been given.
maharashtra vote share
NDA- 41%
INDIA- 40%
OTH- 19%
Talking about victory on 288 assembly seats in the state, Yashwant Deshmukh has predicted NDA’s victory on 112 seats, while INDIA’s account has predicted 104 seats. At the same time, there can be close fight on 61 seats.
NDA- 112
INDIA- 104
OTH-11
Close Fight- 61
Yashwant Deshmukh said that the five parts of Maharashtra are like five states. behave. NDA has a big lead in two parts of the state and the opposition in two parts and there is a close contest in one, hence at the state level it seems that there is not a huge gap in the vote share, but it is not so. He said that the very close fight that is seen at the state level is not that close as per the region. NDA has a huge lead in vote share in Mumbai, North Maharashtra and Konkan. The opposition’s lead is huge in Western Maharashtra and Marathwada. Vidarbha is the only place where the contest in terms of vote share is looking close. It will be decided from Vidarbha itself that who will become the largest party and which alliance will get majority or not.
If these closely fought seats go to one side, the victory will be decided for NDA or MVA, but if these seats are divided and 30-30 goes to both sides, then the result will be stuck. Yashwant Deshmukh said that if these seats go one way then there is a greater possibility of one alliance getting the benefit. Now whether she can go or not is the big question.
He said, ‘When we make such assessments, we assume that these marginal seats will be lost in the same proportion as the other seats. This also happens, but in the last 10 years this rule is not working and it has been seen that marginal seats go aside. It is not necessary that these seats go to whoever has more vote share. Many times marginal seats also went towards the person whose vote share was less at the state level.