Face-to-face contest on four seats in the first phase.
– Photo: Amar Ujala Digital
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So will 2019 repeat again in Bihar? The situation is almost the same as the voting figures in the Lok Sabha elections that were revealed in the first phase of 2019. The situation is even worse than that. Last time too, voting was held in the first phase in Gaya, Aurangabad, Jamui and Nawada. The same thing happened this time also. Last time too, Nawada had the lowest vote percentage. This time too. By the way, the vote percentage of Nawada has further dropped compared to earlier. So, it is a compulsion to believe that this time the figure of 34 is going to be made. During the 18 hours after the end of the voting, it is revealed in the conversation with the people on all the four seats that due to low voting and head-to-head contest, it is difficult to save the remaining deposits. Apart from this, many other things are also coming to light. If we understand everything one by one, a lot will become clear.
Gaya: What was in 2019, what will be in 2024
This time the highest voting took place in Gaya Lok Sabha seat – 52 percent. Still, this is much less than last time’s 56.18 percent. In the Lok Sabha elections 2019, 13 candidates were finally in the fray. The bail of 11 of them was forfeited. Then Jitan Ram Manjhi was the Grand Alliance candidate on the ticket of his party Hindustani Awam Morcha-Secular and lost to JDU’s Vijay Kumar Manjhi. This time Manjhi is the NDA candidate instead of the Grand Alliance. The hustle and bustle of 18 hours of voting on Friday shows that this time too the contest is one-on-one. Between Grand Alliance candidate Kumar Sarvjeet and NDA candidate Jitan Ram Manjhi. This time 14 candidates are in the fray from Gaya, but people are clearly saying that it was a one-on-one contest and less voting means that the remaining 12 candidates will face disappointment. This time two parties have come out of the grand alliance and are in NDA. NDA expects its margin to increase, while RJD clearly sees its victory.
Aurangabad: Situation like 2019 this time also
This is the only seat out of four, on which the sitting MP got a chance to show his Jauhar again. This time 50 percent voting took place here. The figures of the Election Commission itself show that last time there was 53.67 percent voting. Reasons like heat, delay in campaigning are being cited for the decline in vote percentage, but when the impact is being talked about, people are talking about division of votes between NDA and Grand Alliance. This time 32 nominations were filed for this seat, but only nine remained in the fray. Last time the number of nominations was only six, even then there were nine in the fray. If the one-on-one contest remains the final one as claimed by the common voters and the rebellion game does not work as expected, then it will be difficult for seven of the nine candidates to save their deposits. The parties that claim to turn out their voters due to high turnout have only fear of low turnout.
Nawada: Even those claiming victory are not relaxed
The failure of voting is a significant example in the case of Nawada. This time only 41.5 percent voting was reported in Nawada. Last time the Election Commission had recorded 49.73 percent voting. In the elections held in 2019, the condition of Nawada was bad. This time the situation is worse. Last time, nine were in the fray and the security deposit of seven was confiscated. Meaning, he could not get seven respectable votes. There was a face-to-face fight between the NDA and the Grand Alliance. This time also the situation is the same. This time the nominations were 30, but including the two main candidates there are eight players in the field. BJP has given a chance to Vivek Thakur from here, while Shravan Kumar is the RJD candidate from the Grand Alliance. After voting, people say that the presence of a third party in the fight is very difficult. Meaning, there is a problem with the bail of six candidates. Apart from this, those claiming victory also know that the margin of defeat will also not be much. Meaning, no one is in relief.
Jamui: Vote percentage dropped due to identity crisis
By the time about 17-18 hours had passed after the voting, people here formed the opinion that due to reasons like delay in announcement of the candidate, unexpected entry of new faces, severe heat from morning to evening, the vote percentage dropped to 50 percent. Earlier the competition here seemed to be tough, but now no one is in a position to say anything. Yes, it is definitely being said that even a younger candidate has worked well. Despite this, this time, out of the seven candidates contesting from here, there are less people claiming to have saved their bail. Secondly, the grand alliance candidate may have to bear the brunt of the viral video of RJD’s meeting in the last minute of the election campaign and Tejashwi Yadav’s lack of regret over it. Last time, nine candidates were in the fray for this seat and despite 55.25 percent voting, the deposits of seven candidates were forfeited.
Identity of independents and parties is not important
Like last time, this time also no major independent or third major party showed its influence on these four seats. Last time, due to this reason, the deposits of everyone on every seat except the winner and the loser were confiscated. This time also, the role of Mayawati’s Bahujan Samaj Party is expected to be seen in two reserved seats among those who got votes. As far as the performance of candidates of other parties is concerned, Rashtriya Jan Sambhavana Party, Loktantrik Samajik Party, Socialist Unity Center of India (Communist), Bharat Jan Jagran Dal, People’s Party of India (Democratic), Bhagidari Party (P), Akhil Hind The election results will tell how much you know about the names of Forward Bloc (revolutionaries) etc.
