Lok Sabha Election 2024: Lok Sabha Elections Samajwadi Party has suffered a big setback before 2024. Swami Prasad Maurya, who held the post of General Secretary, has left the party. He has decided to form a new party. The effect of this decision of Swami Prasad Maurya will be seen in the upcoming elections. Samajwadi Party leader Akhilesh Yadav, along with opposition parties, is trying to reduce BJP’s dominance in UP, but this decision of Swami Prasad Maurya is going to cause the most damage to Akhilesh’s electoral hopes.
After leaving the party, Swami Prasad Maurya said that Samajwadi Party was limited to 40-45 seats in the assembly elections. After his arrival, the party got more than 100 seats and the vote share increased by 6 percent. In such a situation, Samajwadi Party will suffer the most due to his departure.
What is the mathematics of voting in UP?
There are 80 Lok Sabha seats in Uttar Pradesh, the country’s largest state. Here maximum 52 percent voters are from OBC and Dalit community. At the same time, 23 percent voters are upper caste and 20 percent voters are Muslims. In such a situation, to win here, the votes of OBC voters are very important. For this reason, leaders of all parties are busy in wooing OBC voters.
OBC voters of UP are considered the vote bank of Samajwadi Party. For this reason this party has been in power here. However, OBC voters are also divided into two categories. First, there are those OBC voters who play an important role in the society, like Yadav. Secondly, there are those OBC voters, whose influence is less. Yadavs are traditionally Samajwadi Party voters, but Swami Prasad Maurya has a strong hold among the Other Backward Classes. In such a situation, his leaving Samajwadi Party will reduce the OBC vote bank of Samajwadi Party and the Dalit vote bank of Bahujan Samajwadi Party. He will cut the votes of Akhilesh and Mayawati and BJP will benefit from this.
Impact of anti-Hindu image also
Swami Prasad Maurya has always been giving anti-Hindu statements. With this he also tries to woo Buddhist and Muslim voters. In such a situation, by forming a separate party, he will reduce the voters of Samajwadi Party and Mayawati. Along with this, other regional parties may also suffer losses. If Swami Prasad does not form an alliance with anyone and fields candidates on all the seats under his influence, then along with Akhilesh and Mayawati, the votes of regional parties will also reduce. BJP can benefit from this. Because upper caste voters come together and vote for BJP.
