Delimitation: The year 2026 is not far away. This is the reason that discussions of delimitation are gaining momentum. This is because after the 2001 census, the Atal Bihari government of the Center postponed the delimitation for 25 years. This time will be completed in 2026. That is, the routes of delimitation will be opened again.
Delimitation is a constitutional process. Every time there is a provision for it to be done after the census because it is clear only after the census how much population is in the constituencies (Lok Sabha and Assembly). Based on this, changes are made in the constituencies.
Talking about the Lok Sabha, when the delimitation was to be held in the year 1976 after the 1971 census, the Indira Gandhi government amended the constitution and stopped it for 25 years. Then when the turn of delimitation came again after 2001, it was once again extended. If there was a census in the year 2021, it was possible that the number of Lok Sabha and Assembly seats in the country would have changed state -wise in 2026, but in the event of this, it is now likely to happen after the 2031 census.
Will something change?
Since there is a change in Lok Sabha seats in the states according to the population in delimitation. In such a situation, it is clear that if there is delimitation, then there will be more seats in the part of North Indian states. This is because there has been a greater increase in population in North India than in South. According to an estimate, if one Lok Sabha seat is fixed at a population of 20 lakhs, then there will be 753 Lok Sabha seats instead of 543 in the country. In such a situation, there will be a big difference in the seat ratio of South and North India.
For the last 5 decades, there are 129 out of 543 seats of Lok Sabha in 5 states of South India (Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and Kerala). That is, 24% of the Lok Sabha seats come from South Indian states. After the new delimitation, the total seats in these five states can be 144. That is, the increase of 15 seats, but due to a total of 743 seats, then the representation of South Indian states in the Lok Sabha will be only 19 percent. That is, there will be a cut of 5 percent.
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On the other hand, there will be unexpected increase in Lok Sabha seats of some states of North India. 80 to 128 in UP, 40 to 70 in Bihar, 29 to 47 in Madhya Pradesh, 25 to 44 Lok Sabha seats in Rajasthan. Similarly, there will be a huge increase in the number of Lok Sabha seats in other North Indian states.
Why restlessness in South Indian states?
The North Indian states will increase in the Lok Sabha and will reduce South India. The southern states fear that governments will focus more on the northern states. Such examples have also been revealed. For example, only 30 percent of the tax that the Center gets from states like Tamil Nadu and Karnataka is being spent on these states, while they are being given 250 to 300% funds in the central government schemes as compared to the contribution of UP-Bihar tax. The southern states have been continuously raising questions about this.
Another fact is that BJP has a good hold in North India. In such a situation, if the representation of the northern states in the Lok Sabha reaches 60 percent, then the strength of the BJP will also increase. At the same time, the dominance of parties like DMK, TRS, TDP of the south will almost end the dominance in national politics.
This is the reason that Tamil Nadu Chief Minister Stalin recently made a statement against the delimitation. The leaders of India alliance in Kerala, Karnataka and Telangana are also continuously raising their voice against it.
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